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icon for Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras
Política·Reino Unido

Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras

icon for Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras
Política·Reino Unido

Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras

Sagal Abdi-Wali 70%

Zack Polanski 27%

Pat Callaghan 1.9%

Gio Spinella 1.8%

Polymarket

$14,450 Vol.

Sagal Abdi-Wali 70%

Zack Polanski 27%

Pat Callaghan 1.9%

Gio Spinella 1.8%

Polymarket

$14,450 Vol.

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$2,450 Vol.

70%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$5,780 Vol.

27%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$199 Vol.

2%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$202 Vol.

2%

icon for Andrew Feinstein

Andrew Feinstein

$1,671 Vol.

2%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$199 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$181 Vol.

2%

icon for James White

James White

$198 Vol.

2%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$219 Vol.

1%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$219 Vol.

1%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$249 Vol.

1%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$181 Vol.

1%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$741 Vol.

1%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$187 Vol.

1%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$199 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sagal Abdi-Wali leads the Holborn and St Pancras by-election market at 70% as the frontrunner for Labour’s nomination in the safe seat vacated by Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026. Labour’s long dominance in the constituency, reinforced by strong local election results, underpins trader expectations that the eventual Labour candidate will prevail. Zack Polanski’s announcement on 3 September that he intends to contest the seat for the Greens, who placed third in 2024 and improved locally in 2026, supports his 27% price as the main challenger. Other declared or potential candidates remain at low single-digit or fractional levels, reflecting limited viability in a contest likely to centre on Labour and Green platforms ahead of the still-unscheduled polling day.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$14,450
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Sagal Abdi-Wali leads the Holborn and St Pancras by-election market at 70% as the frontrunner for Labour’s nomination in the safe seat vacated by Keir Starmer’s resignation on 1 September 2026. Labour’s long dominance in the constituency, reinforced by strong local election results, underpins trader expectations that the eventual Labour candidate will prevail. Zack Polanski’s announcement on 3 September that he intends to contest the seat for the Greens, who placed third in 2024 and improved locally in 2026, supports his 27% price as the main challenger. Other declared or potential candidates remain at low single-digit or fractional levels, reflecting limited viability in a contest likely to centre on Labour and Green platforms ahead of the still-unscheduled polling day.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$14,450
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sagal Abdi-Wali" at 70%, followed by "Zack Polanski" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras" has generated $14.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras" is "Sagal Abdi-Wali" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zack Polanski" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição de Holborn e St Pancras" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.