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Desporto·Xadrez

46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE

icon for 46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE
Desporto·Xadrez

46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE

India 37%

United States of America 25%

Uzbekistan 21%

China 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

India 37%

United States of America 25%

Uzbekistan 21%

China 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

India

$15 Vol.

31%

United States of America

$32 Vol.

25%

Uzbekistan

$15 Vol.

28%

China

$490 Vol.

11%

Ukraine

$10 Vol.

9%

Armenia

$110 Vol.

9%

Azerbaijan

$160 Vol.

9%

England

$10 Vol.

9%

Spain

$110 Vol.

9%

France

$110 Vol.

9%

Georgia

$10 Vol.

9%

Hungary

$10 Vol.

9%

Iran

$110 Vol.

9%

Netherlands

$110 Vol.

9%

Norway

$110 Vol.

9%

Poland

$10 Vol.

9%

Serbia

$110 Vol.

9%

Turkiye

$10 Vol.

9%

Vietnam

$10 Vol.

9%

Argentina

$35 Vol.

8%

Austria

$35 Vol.

8%

Brazil

$35 Vol.

8%

Bulgaria

$35 Vol.

8%

Canada

$35 Vol.

8%

Chile

$35 Vol.

8%

Colombia

$35 Vol.

8%

Croatia

$35 Vol.

8%

Czech Republic

$35 Vol.

8%

Egypt

$35 Vol.

8%

Greece

$35 Vol.

8%

Kazakhstan

$35 Vol.

8%

Latvia

$35 Vol.

8%

Lithuania

$35 Vol.

8%

Moldova

$35 Vol.

8%

Mexico

$35 Vol.

8%

Romania

$35 Vol.

8%

Slovenia

$35 Vol.

8%

Germany

$177 Vol.

6%

Turkmenistan

$45 Vol.

3%

Sweden

$10 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.India, Uzbekistan, the United States, and China dominate trader consensus for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand, reflecting their superior average ratings and recent medal pedigrees. India enters as defending champions with exceptional depth across Gukesh, Praggnanandhaa, Erigaisi, and Vidit, though the historical difficulty of repeating adds slight pressure. Uzbekistan benefits from home-soil hosting duties plus a rising core including Abdusattorov and Sindarov, whose form aligns with national momentum. The American squad fields one of the highest-rated lineups historically with Caruana, Nakamura, and Aronian providing consistent board strength, while China rebuilds around Wei Yi amid ongoing roster transitions. Multiple contenders with comparable peak ratings and no single dominant side keep the implied probabilities tightly bunched in a Swiss-system format where match results and tiebreaks can shift rapidly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,415
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.India, Uzbekistan, the United States, and China dominate trader consensus for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand, reflecting their superior average ratings and recent medal pedigrees. India enters as defending champions with exceptional depth across Gukesh, Praggnanandhaa, Erigaisi, and Vidit, though the historical difficulty of repeating adds slight pressure. Uzbekistan benefits from home-soil hosting duties plus a rising core including Abdusattorov and Sindarov, whose form aligns with national momentum. The American squad fields one of the highest-rated lineups historically with Caruana, Nakamura, and Aronian providing consistent board strength, while China rebuilds around Wei Yi amid ongoing roster transitions. Multiple contenders with comparable peak ratings and no single dominant side keep the implied probabilities tightly bunched in a Swiss-system format where match results and tiebreaks can shift rapidly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,415
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "India" at 31%, followed by "Uzbekistan" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" is "India" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Uzbekistan" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "46º Vencedor do Torneio Aberto das Olimpíadas de Xadrez da FIDE" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.