Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 47.5% as the defending US Open champion returning from a four-month wrist injury layoff, with his early-round wins—including straight-sets victories over lower-ranked opponents—demonstrating effective hard-court adaptation and an extended Grand Slam match-winning streak. Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal due to a knee injury further elevated Alcaraz’s implied probability. Alexander Zverev sits at 22.9% after claiming the 2026 French Open title and reaching the Wimbledon final, though multiple five-set matches at Flushing Meadows highlight endurance questions for the top seed. Ben Shelton at 9.2% benefits from four 2026 titles, including a Montreal defense, and strong recent hard-court form as the leading American contender. Lower-probability names like Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien reflect experience and emerging results but trail in current momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCarlos Alcaraz 50%
Alexander Zverev 22.8%
Ben Shelton 9.3%
Daniil Medvedev 5.8%
$20,482,789 Vol.
$20,482,789 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
50%
Alexander Zverev
23%
Ben Shelton
9%
Daniil Medvedev
6%
Learner Tien
3%
Jakub Mensik
3%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Jogador O
2%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Luciano Darderi
1%
Karen Khachanov
1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1%
Zizou Bergs
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Taylor Fritz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 50%
Alexander Zverev 22.8%
Ben Shelton 9.3%
Daniil Medvedev 5.8%
$20,482,789 Vol.
$20,482,789 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
50%
Alexander Zverev
23%
Ben Shelton
9%
Daniil Medvedev
6%
Learner Tien
3%
Jakub Mensik
3%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Jogador O
2%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Alex Michelsen
1%
Luciano Darderi
1%
Karen Khachanov
1%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
1%
Zizou Bergs
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Taylor Fritz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 47.5% as the defending US Open champion returning from a four-month wrist injury layoff, with his early-round wins—including straight-sets victories over lower-ranked opponents—demonstrating effective hard-court adaptation and an extended Grand Slam match-winning streak. Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament withdrawal due to a knee injury further elevated Alcaraz’s implied probability. Alexander Zverev sits at 22.9% after claiming the 2026 French Open title and reaching the Wimbledon final, though multiple five-set matches at Flushing Meadows highlight endurance questions for the top seed. Ben Shelton at 9.2% benefits from four 2026 titles, including a Montreal defense, and strong recent hard-court form as the leading American contender. Lower-probability names like Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien reflect experience and emerging results but trail in current momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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