Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability due to his status as world No. 1, recent Wimbledon title, and dominant hard-court record entering the hard-court major, despite a recent right-knee withdrawal from Cincinnati that prompted schedule adjustments. Alexander Zverev sits at 14.9% after capturing the 2026 French Open, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz follows at 12.5% amid questions over recent form and availability. Novak Djokovic holds 6.9% on experience and prior deep runs, with younger contenders like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz at 5.3% and 4.0% reflecting solid recent ATP results but limited Grand Slam pedigree. The field remains wide open given typical late-summer injury risks and the physical demands of Flushing Meadows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJannik Sinner 42%
Alexander Zverev 14.9%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Novak Djokovic 7.0%
$7,015,293 Vol.
$7,015,293 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
42%
Alexander Zverev
15%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Jannik Sinner 42%
Alexander Zverev 14.9%
Carlos Alcaraz 13%
Novak Djokovic 7.0%
$7,015,293 Vol.
$7,015,293 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
42%
Alexander Zverev
15%
Carlos Alcaraz
13%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Ben Shelton
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jack Draper
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability due to his status as world No. 1, recent Wimbledon title, and dominant hard-court record entering the hard-court major, despite a recent right-knee withdrawal from Cincinnati that prompted schedule adjustments. Alexander Zverev sits at 14.9% after capturing the 2026 French Open, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz follows at 12.5% amid questions over recent form and availability. Novak Djokovic holds 6.9% on experience and prior deep runs, with younger contenders like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz at 5.3% and 4.0% reflecting solid recent ATP results but limited Grand Slam pedigree. The field remains wide open given typical late-summer injury risks and the physical demands of Flushing Meadows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions