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Regulatory Affairs predictions & odds

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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

4%

June 30

$79.5K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 21 days

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

35%

Kyle Diamantas

$12.2K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

22%

$23.6K Vol.

$946 Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$43.1K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

10%

KeyBank

$23.8K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

71%

$2.2K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

81%

$274 Vol.

$149 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

2%

BMO

$530K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

90%

$2.3K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth?

Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth?

40%

1%–1.5%

$73.5K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

8%

July 31

$949K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?

FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?

75%

$1.6K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Counter-Strike: against All authority vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: against All authority vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$2 Vol.

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

72%

$3.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?

FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?

68%

$1.6K Vol.

$953 Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

78%

$3.6K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Will RH Q1 revenue be above __?

Will RH Q1 revenue be above __?

87%

$750M

$149 Vol.

$199 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

1%

June 30

$600K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

37

Ends in 21 days

Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

64%

85%+

$8.7K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

91%

$1.2B

$20.1K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 132 active markets for Regulatory Affairs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Regulatory Affairs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.