Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY pricing in 2026. The pair has traded in a volatile 155–164 range this year amid repeated Ministry of Finance interventions, including coordinated U.S.-Japan action in late July and August that briefly capped upside near 164 before the yen rallied sharply in early September on repriced BoJ tightening expectations. Markets now assign high probability to a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, narrowing the roughly 300-basis-point policy gap, while Fed September hike odds fluctuate with incoming employment and inflation prints. Traders monitor Treasury yields, core PCE trends, and upcoming September central bank decisions for signals on whether the carry-trade-fueled yen weakness will persist or reverse further toward year-end levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$50,183 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑200
4%
↑190
6%
↑180
7%
↑175
10%
↑170
18%
↑165
35%
↓150
39%
↓140
51%
↓130
6%
↓120
3%
↓110
9%
$50,183 Wol.
↑200
$719 Wol.
4%
↑190
$80 Wol.
6%
↑180
$968 Wol.
7%
↑175
$3,144 Wol.
10%
↑170
$6,529 Wol.
18%
↑165
$10,687 Wol.
35%
↓150
$5,643 Wol.
39%
↓140
$2,653 Wol.
51%
↓130
$1,430 Wol.
6%
↓120
$9,103 Wol.
3%
↓110
$909 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY pricing in 2026. The pair has traded in a volatile 155–164 range this year amid repeated Ministry of Finance interventions, including coordinated U.S.-Japan action in late July and August that briefly capped upside near 164 before the yen rallied sharply in early September on repriced BoJ tightening expectations. Markets now assign high probability to a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, narrowing the roughly 300-basis-point policy gap, while Fed September hike odds fluctuate with incoming employment and inflation prints. Traders monitor Treasury yields, core PCE trends, and upcoming September central bank decisions for signals on whether the carry-trade-fueled yen weakness will persist or reverse further toward year-end levels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,183Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY pricing in 2026. The pair has traded in a volatile 155–164 range this year amid repeated Ministry of Finance interventions, including coordinated U.S.-Japan action in late July and August that briefly capped upside near 164 before the yen rallied sharply in early September on repriced BoJ tightening expectations. Markets now assign high probability to a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, narrowing the roughly 300-basis-point policy gap, while Fed September hike odds fluctuate with incoming employment and inflation prints. Traders monitor Treasury yields, core PCE trends, and upcoming September central bank decisions for signals on whether the carry-trade-fueled yen weakness will persist or reverse further toward year-end levels.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Wolumen
$50,183Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan remains the dominant driver of USD/JPY pricing in 2026. The pair has traded in a volatile 155–164 range this year amid repeated Ministry of Finance interventions, including coordinated U.S.-Japan action in late July and August that briefly capped upside near 164 before the yen rallied sharply in early September on repriced BoJ tightening expectations. Markets now assign high probability to a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, narrowing the roughly 300-basis-point policy gap, while Fed September hike odds fluctuate with incoming employment and inflation prints. Traders monitor Treasury yields, core PCE trends, and upcoming September central bank decisions for signals on whether the carry-trade-fueled yen weakness will persist or reverse further toward year-end levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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