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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rafael Grossi 59%

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Michelle Bachelet 3.6%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Wol.

Rafael Grossi 59%

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Michelle Bachelet 3.6%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Wol.

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Wol.

59%

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Wol.

45%

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Wol.

4%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Wol.

3%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Wol.

2%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Wol.

1%

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Wol.

1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Wol.

1%

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Wol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Wol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Wol.

22%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Wol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Wol.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Wol.

29%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment in the UN Secretary-General race at 45% implied probability after topping the Security Council’s first informal straw poll in late July with the most “encourage” votes among nominees. Her position as UNCTAD head and former Costa Rican vice president positions her as a continuity candidate with broad Latin American backing and minimal objections so far. Rafael Grossi’s 29.5% share reflects his strong record as IAEA director general and experience mediating conflicts like those in Ukraine and Iran, though he trails in early council soundings. Achim Steiner’s comparable 29.4% pricing highlights his UNDP leadership and development expertise amid ongoing debates over regional rotation and the push for the first female secretary-general. With the process entering its final straw-poll phase before an expected autumn conclusion, recent candidate dialogues and veto-power dynamics continue to shape these crowd-sourced probabilities.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$80,086
Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment in the UN Secretary-General race at 45% implied probability after topping the Security Council’s first informal straw poll in late July with the most “encourage” votes among nominees. Her position as UNCTAD head and former Costa Rican vice president positions her as a continuity candidate with broad Latin American backing and minimal objections so far. Rafael Grossi’s 29.5% share reflects his strong record as IAEA director general and experience mediating conflicts like those in Ukraine and Iran, though he trails in early council soundings. Achim Steiner’s comparable 29.4% pricing highlights his UNDP leadership and development expertise amid ongoing debates over regional rotation and the push for the first female secretary-general. With the process entering its final straw-poll phase before an expected autumn conclusion, recent candidate dialogues and veto-power dynamics continue to shape these crowd-sourced probabilities.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$80,086
Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 14 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Rebeca Grynspan" z 45%, za nim "Rafael Grossi" z 30%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" wygenerował $80.1K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 11, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?", przeglądaj 14 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" jest "Rebeca Grynspan" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Rafael Grossi" z 30%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.