FIFA's repeated public affirmations, including from President Gianni Infantino, that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup have anchored trader expectations around no replacement. Iran remains in Group G with confirmed fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt, while the federation has secured a Mexico base camp for training and matchday travel into the United States. Geopolitical tensions prompted earlier speculation about alternatives such as Italy, the UAE, or Bolivia, yet official channels dismissed those proposals and maintained the original qualification slot. Visa and ticketing friction for support staff and fans has surfaced in recent days, but these operational hurdles have not altered Iran's participation status. Only an unforeseen last-minute withdrawal by the Iranian federation itself could reopen replacement discussions under FIFA rules.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich team will replace Iran at World Cup?
Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
UAE <1%
$98,856 Wol.
$98,856 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
100%
Italy
<1%
Bolivia
<1%
UAE
<1%
Other
<1%
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
UAE <1%
$98,856 Wol.
$98,856 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$41,006 Wol.
100%
Italy
$40,939 Wol.
<1%
Bolivia
$3,634 Wol.
<1%
UAE
$6,652 Wol.
<1%
Other
$6,625 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated public affirmations, including from President Gianni Infantino, that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup have anchored trader expectations around no replacement. Iran remains in Group G with confirmed fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt, while the federation has secured a Mexico base camp for training and matchday travel into the United States. Geopolitical tensions prompted earlier speculation about alternatives such as Italy, the UAE, or Bolivia, yet official channels dismissed those proposals and maintained the original qualification slot. Visa and ticketing friction for support staff and fans has surfaced in recent days, but these operational hurdles have not altered Iran's participation status. Only an unforeseen last-minute withdrawal by the Iranian federation itself could reopen replacement discussions under FIFA rules.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$98,856Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated public affirmations, including from President Gianni Infantino, that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup have anchored trader expectations around no replacement. Iran remains in Group G with confirmed fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt, while the federation has secured a Mexico base camp for training and matchday travel into the United States. Geopolitical tensions prompted earlier speculation about alternatives such as Italy, the UAE, or Bolivia, yet official channels dismissed those proposals and maintained the original qualification slot. Visa and ticketing friction for support staff and fans has surfaced in recent days, but these operational hurdles have not altered Iran's participation status. Only an unforeseen last-minute withdrawal by the Iranian federation itself could reopen replacement discussions under FIFA rules.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$98,856Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA's repeated public affirmations, including from President Gianni Infantino, that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup have anchored trader expectations around no replacement. Iran remains in Group G with confirmed fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt, while the federation has secured a Mexico base camp for training and matchday travel into the United States. Geopolitical tensions prompted earlier speculation about alternatives such as Italy, the UAE, or Bolivia, yet official channels dismissed those proposals and maintained the original qualification slot. Visa and ticketing friction for support staff and fans has surfaced in recent days, but these operational hurdles have not altered Iran's participation status. Only an unforeseen last-minute withdrawal by the Iranian federation itself could reopen replacement discussions under FIFA rules.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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