Recent record upstream flooding on the White River near Anderson, Indiana—cresting above 24 feet and exceeding the 1913 benchmark—has sent a substantial flood wave downstream toward Indianapolis gauges. National Weather Service forecasts for sites like Nora (82nd Street) project peaks near 20.5 feet, with Indianapolis-area stages currently rising from the 11–16 foot range amid moderate to major flood thresholds (16–25 feet). Prolonged heavy rainfall and saturated soils in central Indiana drive the event, while attenuation, additional rain, and precise crest timing introduce uncertainty that aligns with market-implied odds favoring under-14-foot or 14–20-foot outcomes over extremes. Updated NWS hydrographs and USGS observations in coming days will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?
What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?
Under 14 ft 51%
17–20 ft 41%
14–17 ft 40%
Over 20 ft 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
Under 14 ft
51%
14–17 ft
40%
17–20 ft
41%
Over 20 ft
38%
Under 14 ft 51%
17–20 ft 41%
14–17 ft 40%
Over 20 ft 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
Under 14 ft
$60 Wol.
51%
14–17 ft
$0 Wol.
40%
17–20 ft
$0 Wol.
41%
Over 20 ft
$0 Wol.
38%
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 14.00 feet and below 17.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 17.00 feet and below 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.Recent record upstream flooding on the White River near Anderson, Indiana—cresting above 24 feet and exceeding the 1913 benchmark—has sent a substantial flood wave downstream toward Indianapolis gauges. National Weather Service forecasts for sites like Nora (82nd Street) project peaks near 20.5 feet, with Indianapolis-area stages currently rising from the 11–16 foot range amid moderate to major flood thresholds (16–25 feet). Prolonged heavy rainfall and saturated soils in central Indiana drive the event, while attenuation, additional rain, and precise crest timing introduce uncertainty that aligns with market-implied odds favoring under-14-foot or 14–20-foot outcomes over extremes. Updated NWS hydrographs and USGS observations in coming days will refine these probabilities.
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$60Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 14.00 feet and below 17.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 17.00 feet and below 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.Recent record upstream flooding on the White River near Anderson, Indiana—cresting above 24 feet and exceeding the 1913 benchmark—has sent a substantial flood wave downstream toward Indianapolis gauges. National Weather Service forecasts for sites like Nora (82nd Street) project peaks near 20.5 feet, with Indianapolis-area stages currently rising from the 11–16 foot range amid moderate to major flood thresholds (16–25 feet). Prolonged heavy rainfall and saturated soils in central Indiana drive the event, while attenuation, additional rain, and precise crest timing introduce uncertainty that aligns with market-implied odds favoring under-14-foot or 14–20-foot outcomes over extremes. Updated NWS hydrographs and USGS observations in coming days will refine these probabilities.
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Wolumen
$60Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent record upstream flooding on the White River near Anderson, Indiana—cresting above 24 feet and exceeding the 1913 benchmark—has sent a substantial flood wave downstream toward Indianapolis gauges. National Weather Service forecasts for sites like Nora (82nd Street) project peaks near 20.5 feet, with Indianapolis-area stages currently rising from the 11–16 foot range amid moderate to major flood thresholds (16–25 feet). Prolonged heavy rainfall and saturated soils in central Indiana drive the event, while attenuation, additional rain, and precise crest timing introduce uncertainty that aligns with market-implied odds favoring under-14-foot or 14–20-foot outcomes over extremes. Updated NWS hydrographs and USGS observations in coming days will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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