Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall seeks reelection in Washington’s 6th Congressional District against Republican Teresa Fox in the November 3 general election. Randall advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Fox secured the second slot at about 25 percent. The district, encompassing parts of the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus Tacoma, carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting Randall’s 2024 victory margin and local voter patterns. Her substantial fundraising lead and established incumbency provide structural advantages, yet the market’s clustered probabilities around narrow-to-moderate Democratic margins and a Republican win option signal trader focus on turnout dynamics in mixed suburban and rural counties. Upcoming campaign events, national economic signals, or shifts in voter engagement before Election Day could widen or narrow the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 25-30% 44%
Democrat 15-20% 43%
Democrat 0-5% 43%
Democrat 30-35% 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 35%+
42%
Democrat 30-35%
42%
Democrat 25-30%
44%
Democrat 20-25%
41%
Democrat 15-20%
43%
Democrat 10-15%
42%
Democrat 5-10%
42%
Democrat 0-5%
43%
Republican Wins
42%
Democrat 25-30% 44%
Democrat 15-20% 43%
Democrat 0-5% 43%
Democrat 30-35% 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 35%+
$0 Wol.
42%
Democrat 30-35%
$0 Wol.
42%
Democrat 25-30%
$0 Wol.
44%
Democrat 20-25%
$0 Wol.
41%
Democrat 15-20%
$0 Wol.
43%
Democrat 10-15%
$0 Wol.
42%
Democrat 5-10%
$0 Wol.
42%
Democrat 0-5%
$0 Wol.
43%
Republican Wins
$0 Wol.
42%
The 2026 WA-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall seeks reelection in Washington’s 6th Congressional District against Republican Teresa Fox in the November 3 general election. Randall advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Fox secured the second slot at about 25 percent. The district, encompassing parts of the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus Tacoma, carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting Randall’s 2024 victory margin and local voter patterns. Her substantial fundraising lead and established incumbency provide structural advantages, yet the market’s clustered probabilities around narrow-to-moderate Democratic margins and a Republican win option signal trader focus on turnout dynamics in mixed suburban and rural counties. Upcoming campaign events, national economic signals, or shifts in voter engagement before Election Day could widen or narrow the outcome.
The 2026 WA-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 4:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 WA-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall seeks reelection in Washington’s 6th Congressional District against Republican Teresa Fox in the November 3 general election. Randall advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Fox secured the second slot at about 25 percent. The district, encompassing parts of the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus Tacoma, carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting Randall’s 2024 victory margin and local voter patterns. Her substantial fundraising lead and established incumbency provide structural advantages, yet the market’s clustered probabilities around narrow-to-moderate Democratic margins and a Republican win option signal trader focus on turnout dynamics in mixed suburban and rural counties. Upcoming campaign events, national economic signals, or shifts in voter engagement before Election Day could widen or narrow the outcome.
The 2026 WA-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 4:14 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall seeks reelection in Washington’s 6th Congressional District against Republican Teresa Fox in the November 3 general election. Randall advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, while Fox secured the second slot at about 25 percent. The district, encompassing parts of the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus Tacoma, carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting Randall’s 2024 victory margin and local voter patterns. Her substantial fundraising lead and established incumbency provide structural advantages, yet the market’s clustered probabilities around narrow-to-moderate Democratic margins and a Republican win option signal trader focus on turnout dynamics in mixed suburban and rural counties. Upcoming campaign events, national economic signals, or shifts in voter engagement before Election Day could widen or narrow the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania