Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal-National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead over Labor of 52-57% to 43-48% ahead of the November 28, 2026 election, driven by voter fatigue after more than a decade of Labor government, concerns over crime and cost-of-living pressures, and One Nation drawing 22-27% primary support that fragments the left-leaning vote. Labor's primary support sits in the mid-20s following the late-July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll. In contrast, Coalition leader Jess Wilson leads preferred-premier surveys and has released targeted policies on justice reform, housing, and policing. These trends underpin trader pricing of the Coalition as the clear frontrunner while keeping Labor as the main alternative, with smaller parties reflecting limited paths to majority government.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLiberal–National 78%
Labor 20%
One Nation 2.1%
Greens <1%
$10,625 Wol.
$10,625 Wol.
Nov 28, 2026
Liberal–National
78%
Labor
20%
One Nation
2%
Greens
<1%
Liberal–National 78%
Labor 20%
One Nation 2.1%
Greens <1%
$10,625 Wol.
$10,625 Wol.
Nov 28, 2026
Liberal–National
$6,390 Wol.
78%
Labor
$1,749 Wol.
20%
One Nation
$2,275 Wol.
2%
Greens
$212 Wol.
<1%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal-National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead over Labor of 52-57% to 43-48% ahead of the November 28, 2026 election, driven by voter fatigue after more than a decade of Labor government, concerns over crime and cost-of-living pressures, and One Nation drawing 22-27% primary support that fragments the left-leaning vote. Labor's primary support sits in the mid-20s following the late-July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll. In contrast, Coalition leader Jess Wilson leads preferred-premier surveys and has released targeted policies on justice reform, housing, and policing. These trends underpin trader pricing of the Coalition as the clear frontrunner while keeping Labor as the main alternative, with smaller parties reflecting limited paths to majority government.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,625Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal-National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead over Labor of 52-57% to 43-48% ahead of the November 28, 2026 election, driven by voter fatigue after more than a decade of Labor government, concerns over crime and cost-of-living pressures, and One Nation drawing 22-27% primary support that fragments the left-leaning vote. Labor's primary support sits in the mid-20s following the late-July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll. In contrast, Coalition leader Jess Wilson leads preferred-premier surveys and has released targeted policies on justice reform, housing, and policing. These trends underpin trader pricing of the Coalition as the clear frontrunner while keeping Labor as the main alternative, with smaller parties reflecting limited paths to majority government.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
Wolumen
$10,625Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across multiple firms shows the Liberal-National Coalition maintaining a consistent two-party preferred lead over Labor of 52-57% to 43-48% ahead of the November 28, 2026 election, driven by voter fatigue after more than a decade of Labor government, concerns over crime and cost-of-living pressures, and One Nation drawing 22-27% primary support that fragments the left-leaning vote. Labor's primary support sits in the mid-20s following the late-July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll. In contrast, Coalition leader Jess Wilson leads preferred-premier surveys and has released targeted policies on justice reform, housing, and policing. These trends underpin trader pricing of the Coalition as the clear frontrunner while keeping Labor as the main alternative, with smaller parties reflecting limited paths to majority government.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania