The market-implied odds reflect trader focus on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s projected steep third-weekend decline after its record $360 million domestic opening and $144–145 million second frame. Pre-release tracking and early exit polls point to a 50–60% drop, aligning with historical patterns for MCU tentpoles that front-load heavily due to massive previews and opening-day surges. With limited competition and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, estimates cluster between $57–72 million, but the tight spreads around the sub-$72 million strikes highlight uncertainty over exact holdover strength and whether audience fatigue or summer scheduling will accelerate the falloff before the August 16 close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
<66m 49%
66-68m 42%
68-70m 42%
70-72m 41%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
49%
66-68m
42%
68-70m
42%
70-72m
41%
72m+
3%
<66m 49%
66-68m 42%
68-70m 42%
70-72m 41%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
$0 Wol.
49%
66-68m
$0 Wol.
42%
68-70m
$0 Wol.
42%
70-72m
$0 Wol.
41%
72m+
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market-implied odds reflect trader focus on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s projected steep third-weekend decline after its record $360 million domestic opening and $144–145 million second frame. Pre-release tracking and early exit polls point to a 50–60% drop, aligning with historical patterns for MCU tentpoles that front-load heavily due to massive previews and opening-day surges. With limited competition and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, estimates cluster between $57–72 million, but the tight spreads around the sub-$72 million strikes highlight uncertainty over exact holdover strength and whether audience fatigue or summer scheduling will accelerate the falloff before the August 16 close.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The market-implied odds reflect trader focus on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s projected steep third-weekend decline after its record $360 million domestic opening and $144–145 million second frame. Pre-release tracking and early exit polls point to a 50–60% drop, aligning with historical patterns for MCU tentpoles that front-load heavily due to massive previews and opening-day surges. With limited competition and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, estimates cluster between $57–72 million, but the tight spreads around the sub-$72 million strikes highlight uncertainty over exact holdover strength and whether audience fatigue or summer scheduling will accelerate the falloff before the August 16 close.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds reflect trader focus on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s projected steep third-weekend decline after its record $360 million domestic opening and $144–145 million second frame. Pre-release tracking and early exit polls point to a 50–60% drop, aligning with historical patterns for MCU tentpoles that front-load heavily due to massive previews and opening-day surges. With limited competition and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, estimates cluster between $57–72 million, but the tight spreads around the sub-$72 million strikes highlight uncertainty over exact holdover strength and whether audience fatigue or summer scheduling will accelerate the falloff before the August 16 close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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