Strong second-weekend tracking after the record $360 million domestic opening positions the 140-150 million range as the clear market leader at 72% implied probability. Positive word-of-mouth, strong audience engagement, and premium large-format screen availability have fueled holdover estimates in the 142-160 million band, with recent Deadline and industry forecasts clustering near 143-150 million. Minimal counterprogramming and the film's rapid path past $500 million domestically reinforce trader confidence in a solid but not record-shattering sophomore frame, while the narrower 26.5% weighting on 150-160 million reflects the upper bound of current projections. The market reflects aggregated sentiment around these verified tracking signals ahead of the weekend close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
140-150m 76%
150-160m 23%
130-140m 3.3%
160-170m <1%
$86,091 Wol.
$86,091 Wol.
Aug 9, 2026
<130m
1%
130-140m
3%
140-150m
76%
150-160m
23%
160-170m
1%
170-180m
1%
180m+
<1%
140-150m 76%
150-160m 23%
130-140m 3.3%
160-170m <1%
$86,091 Wol.
$86,091 Wol.
Aug 9, 2026
<130m
$4,493 Wol.
1%
130-140m
$12,037 Wol.
3%
140-150m
$18,326 Wol.
76%
150-160m
$13,772 Wol.
23%
160-170m
$19,244 Wol.
1%
170-180m
$13,298 Wol.
1%
180m+
$4,922 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong second-weekend tracking after the record $360 million domestic opening positions the 140-150 million range as the clear market leader at 72% implied probability. Positive word-of-mouth, strong audience engagement, and premium large-format screen availability have fueled holdover estimates in the 142-160 million band, with recent Deadline and industry forecasts clustering near 143-150 million. Minimal counterprogramming and the film's rapid path past $500 million domestically reinforce trader confidence in a solid but not record-shattering sophomore frame, while the narrower 26.5% weighting on 150-160 million reflects the upper bound of current projections. The market reflects aggregated sentiment around these verified tracking signals ahead of the weekend close.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$86,091Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong second-weekend tracking after the record $360 million domestic opening positions the 140-150 million range as the clear market leader at 72% implied probability. Positive word-of-mouth, strong audience engagement, and premium large-format screen availability have fueled holdover estimates in the 142-160 million band, with recent Deadline and industry forecasts clustering near 143-150 million. Minimal counterprogramming and the film's rapid path past $500 million domestically reinforce trader confidence in a solid but not record-shattering sophomore frame, while the narrower 26.5% weighting on 150-160 million reflects the upper bound of current projections. The market reflects aggregated sentiment around these verified tracking signals ahead of the weekend close.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$86,091Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong second-weekend tracking after the record $360 million domestic opening positions the 140-150 million range as the clear market leader at 72% implied probability. Positive word-of-mouth, strong audience engagement, and premium large-format screen availability have fueled holdover estimates in the 142-160 million band, with recent Deadline and industry forecasts clustering near 143-150 million. Minimal counterprogramming and the film's rapid path past $500 million domestically reinforce trader confidence in a solid but not record-shattering sophomore frame, while the narrower 26.5% weighting on 150-160 million reflects the upper bound of current projections. The market reflects aggregated sentiment around these verified tracking signals ahead of the weekend close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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