Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has established overwhelming trader consensus that its second weekend will finish well below $180 million. Typical 55-65% drops for even the biggest blockbusters, combined with current tracking of $142-160 million, reflect strong but not unprecedented holds driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium large-format screen additions including IMAX, and minimal direct competition. Precedent from titles like The Force Awakens supports this positioning while underscoring the barriers to an outlier performance. An upset above $180 million would require a historically soft decline and sustained audience momentum through the August 8-10 frame that exceeds current industry forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.6%
180-190m <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210m <1%
$58,184 Wol.
$58,184 Wol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
100%
180-190m
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210m
<1%
210-220m
<1%
220m+
<1%
<180m 99.6%
180-190m <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210m <1%
$58,184 Wol.
$58,184 Wol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
$38,806 Wol.
100%
180-190m
$5,434 Wol.
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 Wol.
<1%
200-210m
$1,936 Wol.
<1%
210-220m
$3,503 Wol.
<1%
220m+
$4,495 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has established overwhelming trader consensus that its second weekend will finish well below $180 million. Typical 55-65% drops for even the biggest blockbusters, combined with current tracking of $142-160 million, reflect strong but not unprecedented holds driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium large-format screen additions including IMAX, and minimal direct competition. Precedent from titles like The Force Awakens supports this positioning while underscoring the barriers to an outlier performance. An upset above $180 million would require a historically soft decline and sustained audience momentum through the August 8-10 frame that exceeds current industry forecasts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$58,184Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has established overwhelming trader consensus that its second weekend will finish well below $180 million. Typical 55-65% drops for even the biggest blockbusters, combined with current tracking of $142-160 million, reflect strong but not unprecedented holds driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium large-format screen additions including IMAX, and minimal direct competition. Precedent from titles like The Force Awakens supports this positioning while underscoring the barriers to an outlier performance. An upset above $180 million would require a historically soft decline and sustained audience momentum through the August 8-10 frame that exceeds current industry forecasts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$58,184Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has established overwhelming trader consensus that its second weekend will finish well below $180 million. Typical 55-65% drops for even the biggest blockbusters, combined with current tracking of $142-160 million, reflect strong but not unprecedented holds driven by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium large-format screen additions including IMAX, and minimal direct competition. Precedent from titles like The Force Awakens supports this positioning while underscoring the barriers to an outlier performance. An upset above $180 million would require a historically soft decline and sustained audience momentum through the August 8-10 frame that exceeds current industry forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania