Michigan's 7th congressional district is a competitive swing seat centered around Lansing, currently held by first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett. The seat shifted to even on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the 2024 cycle and has drawn toss-up or Lean Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Barrett advanced unopposed in the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, while activist William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in a three-way contest. Traders' implied probabilities for a Democratic win align with the district's battleground status, recent primary results, and positioning as one of the more vulnerable Republican-held seats heading into the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,127 Wol.
$17,127 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
36%
$17,127 Wol.
$17,127 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,746 Wol.
63%
Republican Party
$5,381 Wol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district is a competitive swing seat centered around Lansing, currently held by first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett. The seat shifted to even on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the 2024 cycle and has drawn toss-up or Lean Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Barrett advanced unopposed in the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, while activist William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in a three-way contest. Traders' implied probabilities for a Democratic win align with the district's battleground status, recent primary results, and positioning as one of the more vulnerable Republican-held seats heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$17,127Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district is a competitive swing seat centered around Lansing, currently held by first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett. The seat shifted to even on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the 2024 cycle and has drawn toss-up or Lean Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Barrett advanced unopposed in the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, while activist William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in a three-way contest. Traders' implied probabilities for a Democratic win align with the district's battleground status, recent primary results, and positioning as one of the more vulnerable Republican-held seats heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$17,127Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district is a competitive swing seat centered around Lansing, currently held by first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett. The seat shifted to even on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the 2024 cycle and has drawn toss-up or Lean Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Barrett advanced unopposed in the August 4, 2026 Republican primary, while activist William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in a three-way contest. Traders' implied probabilities for a Democratic win align with the district's battleground status, recent primary results, and positioning as one of the more vulnerable Republican-held seats heading into the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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