Recent data show global surface temperatures holding near 1.12°C above the 20th-century average through early 2026, with the underlying long-term warming trend and a rapid shift toward El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific expected to sustain or slightly elevate June values. Model consensus and agency outlooks from NOAA and the WMO indicate a high likelihood of anomalies clustering in the 1.15–1.19°C range relative to pre-industrial baselines, driven by ocean heat release and reduced La Niña cooling. Historical analogs and current sea-surface temperature trends support this positioning while leaving room for variability from short-term weather patterns or model revisions before final June observations are released.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJune 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.15–1.19ºC 42%
1.10–1.14ºC 26%
<1.10ºC 16%
1.20–1.24ºC 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
<1.10ºC
26%
1.10–1.14ºC
26%
1.15–1.19ºC
42%
1.20–1.24ºC
14%
1.25–1.29ºC
9%
>1.29ºC
3%
1.15–1.19ºC 42%
1.10–1.14ºC 26%
<1.10ºC 16%
1.20–1.24ºC 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
<1.10ºC
$70 Wol.
26%
1.10–1.14ºC
$77 Wol.
26%
1.15–1.19ºC
$56 Wol.
42%
1.20–1.24ºC
$1,027 Wol.
14%
1.25–1.29ºC
$743 Wol.
9%
>1.29ºC
$499 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent data show global surface temperatures holding near 1.12°C above the 20th-century average through early 2026, with the underlying long-term warming trend and a rapid shift toward El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific expected to sustain or slightly elevate June values. Model consensus and agency outlooks from NOAA and the WMO indicate a high likelihood of anomalies clustering in the 1.15–1.19°C range relative to pre-industrial baselines, driven by ocean heat release and reduced La Niña cooling. Historical analogs and current sea-surface temperature trends support this positioning while leaving room for variability from short-term weather patterns or model revisions before final June observations are released.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,472Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent data show global surface temperatures holding near 1.12°C above the 20th-century average through early 2026, with the underlying long-term warming trend and a rapid shift toward El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific expected to sustain or slightly elevate June values. Model consensus and agency outlooks from NOAA and the WMO indicate a high likelihood of anomalies clustering in the 1.15–1.19°C range relative to pre-industrial baselines, driven by ocean heat release and reduced La Niña cooling. Historical analogs and current sea-surface temperature trends support this positioning while leaving room for variability from short-term weather patterns or model revisions before final June observations are released.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Wolumen
$2,472Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data show global surface temperatures holding near 1.12°C above the 20th-century average through early 2026, with the underlying long-term warming trend and a rapid shift toward El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific expected to sustain or slightly elevate June values. Model consensus and agency outlooks from NOAA and the WMO indicate a high likelihood of anomalies clustering in the 1.15–1.19°C range relative to pre-industrial baselines, driven by ocean heat release and reduced La Niña cooling. Historical analogs and current sea-surface temperature trends support this positioning while leaving room for variability from short-term weather patterns or model revisions before final June observations are released.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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