Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow from official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance are anchoring trader expectations for a Tokyo high near 24°C on September 5, 2026. Multiple model runs and station observations through midday show temperatures climbing only to the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with early-September climatology where seasonal cooling and frequent moisture suppress peaks well below August norms. This consensus supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving limited room for brief clearing that could push readings to 26°C or higher. Updated afternoon guidance and any shift in steering patterns remain the key near-term variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 5?
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 25%
26°C 8%
NOWE
$55,094 Wol.
NOWE
$55,094 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
28%
24°C
36%
25°C
25%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
23°C 28%
25°C 25%
26°C 8%
NOWE
$55,094 Wol.
NOWE
$55,094 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
$1,998 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$10,311 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$6,997 Wol.
28%
24°C
$4,221 Wol.
36%
25°C
$3,954 Wol.
25%
26°C
$4,753 Wol.
8%
27°C
$3,905 Wol.
4%
28°C
$2,350 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,125 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,107 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$14,975 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow from official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance are anchoring trader expectations for a Tokyo high near 24°C on September 5, 2026. Multiple model runs and station observations through midday show temperatures climbing only to the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with early-September climatology where seasonal cooling and frequent moisture suppress peaks well below August norms. This consensus supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving limited room for brief clearing that could push readings to 26°C or higher. Updated afternoon guidance and any shift in steering patterns remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$55,094Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow from official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance are anchoring trader expectations for a Tokyo high near 24°C on September 5, 2026. Multiple model runs and station observations through midday show temperatures climbing only to the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with early-September climatology where seasonal cooling and frequent moisture suppress peaks well below August norms. This consensus supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving limited room for brief clearing that could push readings to 26°C or higher. Updated afternoon guidance and any shift in steering patterns remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$55,094Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow from official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance are anchoring trader expectations for a Tokyo high near 24°C on September 5, 2026. Multiple model runs and station observations through midday show temperatures climbing only to the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with early-September climatology where seasonal cooling and frequent moisture suppress peaks well below August norms. This consensus supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 23–25°C outcomes while leaving limited room for brief clearing that could push readings to 26°C or higher. Updated afternoon guidance and any shift in steering patterns remain the key near-term variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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