Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 23?
21°C 36%
22°C 23%
20°C 18%
23°C 13%
NOWE
$11,565 Wol.
NOWE
$11,565 Wol.
Jul 23, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
36%
22°C
23%
23°C
13%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 23%
20°C 18%
23°C 13%
NOWE
$11,565 Wol.
NOWE
$11,565 Wol.
Jul 23, 2026
17°C or below
$150 Wol.
1%
18°C
$136 Wol.
2%
19°C
$285 Wol.
4%
20°C
$483 Wol.
18%
21°C
$6,394 Wol.
36%
22°C
$358 Wol.
23%
23°C
$396 Wol.
13%
24°C
$289 Wol.
6%
25°C
$192 Wol.
1%
26°C
$672 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,280 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,565Data zakończenia
Jul 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,565Data zakończenia
Jul 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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