Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on July 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 22?
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 11.9%
28°C 10%
NOWE
$12,134 Wol.
NOWE
$12,134 Wol.
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
37%
30°C
43%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 11.9%
28°C 10%
NOWE
$12,134 Wol.
NOWE
$12,134 Wol.
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
$408 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$371 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$636 Wol.
1%
28°C
$2,865 Wol.
10%
29°C
$1,490 Wol.
37%
30°C
$3,261 Wol.
43%
31°C
$1,607 Wol.
12%
32°C
$512 Wol.
2%
33°C
$568 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$293 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$124 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,134Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,134Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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