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icon for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

icon for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$2,842 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for ≥85 mph

≥85 mph

$347 Wol.

98%

icon for ≥90 mph

≥90 mph

$675 Wol.

99%

icon for ≥95 mph

≥95 mph

$488 Wol.

98%

icon for ≥100 mph

≥100 mph

$915 Wol.

98%

icon for ≥105 mph

≥105 mph

$327 Wol.

97%

icon for ≥110 mph

≥110 mph

$40 Wol.

49%

icon for ≥115 mph

≥115 mph

$50 Wol.

48%

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current conditions at the Mount Washington Observatory summit remain calm, with sustained winds of 7–9 mph and no gusts reported through August 8, 2026.** This aligns with typical early-August patterns, when the mountain’s average wind speed hovers near 24.5 mph and hurricane-force gusts (≥74 mph) are uncommon but possible. The all-time August peak gust stands at 147 mph (2020), while more recent years show occasional 90–110 mph events tied to strong frontal passages or the remnants of tropical systems. Traders appear to assign high implied probability to an August maximum of at least 85 mph (and likely 90 mph) because climatological data indicate that one or more vigorous mid-latitude cyclones or post-tropical systems usually affect the Northeast during the month, funneling accelerated flow over the Presidential Range. Resolution hinges on official observatory measurements of the highest gust recorded for the calendar month; new National Weather Service model runs and any approaching coastal storms will be the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,842
Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current conditions at the Mount Washington Observatory summit remain calm, with sustained winds of 7–9 mph and no gusts reported through August 8, 2026.** This aligns with typical early-August patterns, when the mountain’s average wind speed hovers near 24.5 mph and hurricane-force gusts (≥74 mph) are uncommon but possible. The all-time August peak gust stands at 147 mph (2020), while more recent years show occasional 90–110 mph events tied to strong frontal passages or the remnants of tropical systems. Traders appear to assign high implied probability to an August maximum of at least 85 mph (and likely 90 mph) because climatological data indicate that one or more vigorous mid-latitude cyclones or post-tropical systems usually affect the Northeast during the month, funneling accelerated flow over the Presidential Range. Resolution hinges on official observatory measurements of the highest gust recorded for the calendar month; new National Weather Service model runs and any approaching coastal storms will be the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,842
Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "≥90 mph" z 99%, za nim "≥85 mph" z 98%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 99¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 99% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 28, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" jest "≥90 mph" z 99%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 99% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "≥85 mph" z 98%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.