The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. Dutch constitutional rules allow royal decree dissolution leading to snap elections within months, yet normal terms run to 2029–2030 and recent reporting shows limited appetite for a fresh vote before year-end. Budget outcomes in fall 2026 remain the primary near-term risk factor, but current consensus pricing reflects the low probability of triggering conditions materializing inside the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano9% szansa
$15,354 Wol.
$15,354 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% szansa
$15,354 Wol.
$15,354 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. Dutch constitutional rules allow royal decree dissolution leading to snap elections within months, yet normal terms run to 2029–2030 and recent reporting shows limited appetite for a fresh vote before year-end. Budget outcomes in fall 2026 remain the primary near-term risk factor, but current consensus pricing reflects the low probability of triggering conditions materializing inside the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,354Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. Dutch constitutional rules allow royal decree dissolution leading to snap elections within months, yet normal terms run to 2029–2030 and recent reporting shows limited appetite for a fresh vote before year-end. Budget outcomes in fall 2026 remain the primary near-term risk factor, but current consensus pricing reflects the low probability of triggering conditions materializing inside the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$15,354Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The newly installed Jetten minority cabinet, formed in February 2026 by D66, VVD, and CDA after the October 2025 snap elections, holds 66 of 150 seats in the Tweede Kamer and faces no immediate parliamentary crisis or viable opposition alternative capable of forcing early dissolution. Dutch constitutional rules allow royal decree dissolution leading to snap elections within months, yet normal terms run to 2029–2030 and recent reporting shows limited appetite for a fresh vote before year-end. Budget outcomes in fall 2026 remain the primary near-term risk factor, but current consensus pricing reflects the low probability of triggering conditions materializing inside the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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