Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate WTI crude oil pricing, driving sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026 and supporting elevated levels near $90–91 per barrel as of early June. The EIA projects Brent averages around $106 per barrel through June amid Middle East production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day, though actual WTI trades at a discount reflecting US inventory builds and shipping constraints. OPEC+’s latest 188,000 barrel-per-day quota increase effective July remains largely symbolic given compliance limits from disruptions, while uncertain peace negotiations introduce downside risk to the risk premium. Traders are monitoring any ceasefire progress or further supply shocks ahead of month-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$134,297 Wol.
$90
53%
$85
72%
$80
83%
$75
87%
$70
94%
$65
93%
$63
98%
$60
98%
$56
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$134,297 Wol.
$90
53%
$85
72%
$80
83%
$75
87%
$70
94%
$65
93%
$63
98%
$60
98%
$56
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate WTI crude oil pricing, driving sharp inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026 and supporting elevated levels near $90–91 per barrel as of early June. The EIA projects Brent averages around $106 per barrel through June amid Middle East production outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day, though actual WTI trades at a discount reflecting US inventory builds and shipping constraints. OPEC+’s latest 188,000 barrel-per-day quota increase effective July remains largely symbolic given compliance limits from disruptions, while uncertain peace negotiations introduce downside risk to the risk premium. Traders are monitoring any ceasefire progress or further supply shocks ahead of month-end resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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