California's 6th congressional district leans Democratic based on voter registration patterns and recent redistricting adjustments that shifted boundaries toward Sacramento-area suburbs with stronger Democratic performance in prior cycles. Kevin Kiley, the independent incumbent who previously caucused with Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democratic contenders including Richard Pan, but the seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout favoring Kiley, major national political developments altering the midterm environment, or late developments in the general election campaign before November 3, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$41,810 Wol.
$41,810 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$41,810 Wol.
$41,810 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,992 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$23,818 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district leans Democratic based on voter registration patterns and recent redistricting adjustments that shifted boundaries toward Sacramento-area suburbs with stronger Democratic performance in prior cycles. Kevin Kiley, the independent incumbent who previously caucused with Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democratic contenders including Richard Pan, but the seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout favoring Kiley, major national political developments altering the midterm environment, or late developments in the general election campaign before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$41,810Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district leans Democratic based on voter registration patterns and recent redistricting adjustments that shifted boundaries toward Sacramento-area suburbs with stronger Democratic performance in prior cycles. Kevin Kiley, the independent incumbent who previously caucused with Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democratic contenders including Richard Pan, but the seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout favoring Kiley, major national political developments altering the midterm environment, or late developments in the general election campaign before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$41,810Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district leans Democratic based on voter registration patterns and recent redistricting adjustments that shifted boundaries toward Sacramento-area suburbs with stronger Democratic performance in prior cycles. Kevin Kiley, the independent incumbent who previously caucused with Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democratic contenders including Richard Pan, but the seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout favoring Kiley, major national political developments altering the midterm environment, or late developments in the general election campaign before November 3, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania