Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Zwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 40.9%
Lamine Yamal 26.9%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 12%
$19,475,762 Wol.
$19,475,762 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
41%
Lamine Yamal
27%
Kylian Mbappé
12%
Rodri
12%
Lionel Messi
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
R
1%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
1%
Q
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
T
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
S
<1%
U
<1%
Harry Kane 40.9%
Lamine Yamal 26.9%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 12%
$19,475,762 Wol.
$19,475,762 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$2,086,807 Wol.
41%
Lamine Yamal
$1,235,241 Wol.
27%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,016,108 Wol.
12%
Rodri
$453,812 Wol.
12%
Lionel Messi
$1,253,789 Wol.
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,214,712 Wol.
2%
R
$425,986 Wol.
1%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
$528,032 Wol.
1%
Q
$423,982 Wol.
1%
Erling Haaland
$853,973 Wol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$745,412 Wol.
<1%
Michael Olise
$578,480 Wol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$880,607 Wol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$970,002 Wol.
<1%
Pedri
$717,252 Wol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$537,395 Wol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$488,823 Wol.
<1%
Vitinha
$402,964 Wol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$589,453 Wol.
<1%
Raphinha
$581,735 Wol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$587,840 Wol.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$404,567 Wol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$347,690 Wol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$330,307 Wol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$513,730 Wol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$511,995 Wol.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$355,358 Wol.
<1%
T
$56,000 Wol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$162,315 Wol.
<1%
S
$83,050 Wol.
<1%
U
$138,765 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,475,762Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Wolumen
$19,475,762Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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