The Brazilian Senate’s consistent shielding of STF justices, combined with procedural barriers and the absence of any active impeachment proceedings with broad support, underpins the strong trader consensus against removal before 2027. Historical precedent shows no successful justice impeachments despite past surges in formal requests, while the court itself has advanced cases to tighten its own removal rules ahead of potential post-2026 Senate shifts. Limited time remains before the resolution window closes, with current congressional majorities favoring institutional stability over confrontation. Scenarios that could still alter odds include a decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections enabling new proceedings, though confirmation timelines, two-thirds vote thresholds, and legal challenges would likely extend beyond early 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3% szansa
$83,546 Wol.
$83,546 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% szansa
$83,546 Wol.
$83,546 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Brazilian Senate’s consistent shielding of STF justices, combined with procedural barriers and the absence of any active impeachment proceedings with broad support, underpins the strong trader consensus against removal before 2027. Historical precedent shows no successful justice impeachments despite past surges in formal requests, while the court itself has advanced cases to tighten its own removal rules ahead of potential post-2026 Senate shifts. Limited time remains before the resolution window closes, with current congressional majorities favoring institutional stability over confrontation. Scenarios that could still alter odds include a decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections enabling new proceedings, though confirmation timelines, two-thirds vote thresholds, and legal challenges would likely extend beyond early 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$83,546Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Brazilian Senate’s consistent shielding of STF justices, combined with procedural barriers and the absence of any active impeachment proceedings with broad support, underpins the strong trader consensus against removal before 2027. Historical precedent shows no successful justice impeachments despite past surges in formal requests, while the court itself has advanced cases to tighten its own removal rules ahead of potential post-2026 Senate shifts. Limited time remains before the resolution window closes, with current congressional majorities favoring institutional stability over confrontation. Scenarios that could still alter odds include a decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections enabling new proceedings, though confirmation timelines, two-thirds vote thresholds, and legal challenges would likely extend beyond early 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$83,546Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Brazilian Senate’s consistent shielding of STF justices, combined with procedural barriers and the absence of any active impeachment proceedings with broad support, underpins the strong trader consensus against removal before 2027. Historical precedent shows no successful justice impeachments despite past surges in formal requests, while the court itself has advanced cases to tighten its own removal rules ahead of potential post-2026 Senate shifts. Limited time remains before the resolution window closes, with current congressional majorities favoring institutional stability over confrontation. Scenarios that could still alter odds include a decisive rightward Senate majority after the 2026 elections enabling new proceedings, though confirmation timelines, two-thirds vote thresholds, and legal challenges would likely extend beyond early 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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