Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDemocrats 8-10% 27%
Democrats 10-12% 22%
Democrats 6-8% 21%
Democrats 4-6% 12%
$119,825 Wol.
$119,825 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrats 16%+
1%
Democrats 14-16%
2%
Democrats 12-14%
7%
Democrats 10-12%
22%
Democrats 8-10%
27%
Democrats 6-8%
21%
Democrats 4-6%
12%
Democrats 2-4%
6%
Democrats 0-2%
2%
Republicans 0-2%
6%
Republicans 2-4%
3%
Republicans 4-6%
1%
Republicans 6%+
2%
Democrats 8-10% 27%
Democrats 10-12% 22%
Democrats 6-8% 21%
Democrats 4-6% 12%
$119,825 Wol.
$119,825 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrats 16%+
$3,158 Wol.
1%
Democrats 14-16%
$2,466 Wol.
2%
Democrats 12-14%
$4,106 Wol.
7%
Democrats 10-12%
$8,035 Wol.
22%
Democrats 8-10%
$13,886 Wol.
27%
Democrats 6-8%
$13,942 Wol.
21%
Democrats 4-6%
$5,284 Wol.
12%
Democrats 2-4%
$14,161 Wol.
6%
Democrats 0-2%
$13,479 Wol.
2%
Republicans 0-2%
$5,143 Wol.
6%
Republicans 2-4%
$29,530 Wol.
3%
Republicans 4-6%
$2,878 Wol.
1%
Republicans 6%+
$3,756 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$119,825Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Wolumen
$119,825Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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