Mexico's status as a 2026 co-host with multiple group-stage matches in Mexico City and Guadalajara underpins the 53.5% implied probability traders assign to El Tri topping Group A. Home advantage at high-altitude venues, combined with recent squad preparations under Javier Aguirre and a deeper roster than the other sides, has solidified this positioning ahead of the June 11 opener against South Africa. South Korea benefits from consistent World Cup participation and tactical familiarity but enters with mixed recent results, reflected in the 21.5% level. Czechia and South Africa trail at 18.5% and 6.3%, respectively, as underdogs facing tougher stylistic and travel challenges in a compact group where the top two advance.