The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd Congressional District because the sprawling border seat carries an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a widely reported personal scandal, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary process. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout captured her party’s nomination outright, yet faces structural headwinds in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts since the vacancy, though the open seat and nominee change introduce modest uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,074 거래량
$28,074 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
28%
$28,074 거래량
$28,074 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$15,903 거래량
70%
Democratic Party
$12,171 거래량
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd Congressional District because the sprawling border seat carries an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a widely reported personal scandal, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary process. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout captured her party’s nomination outright, yet faces structural headwinds in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts since the vacancy, though the open seat and nominee change introduce modest uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$28,074종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd Congressional District because the sprawling border seat carries an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a widely reported personal scandal, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary process. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout captured her party’s nomination outright, yet faces structural headwinds in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts since the vacancy, though the open seat and nominee change introduce modest uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,074종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas’s 23rd Congressional District because the sprawling border seat carries an R+7 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a widely reported personal scandal, allowing Brandon Herrera to secure the Republican nomination after prevailing in the March primary process. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout captured her party’s nomination outright, yet faces structural headwinds in a district rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these partisan fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts since the vacancy, though the open seat and nominee change introduce modest uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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