Incumbent U.S. Representative Grace Meng holds an 87.8% implied probability in the June 23, 2026, NY-06 Democratic primary, reflecting her established position since 2013 in the Queens-based district. She maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $1.6 million in cash on hand as of early June, along with broad institutional support and name recognition. Challenger Charles (“Chuck”) Park, a former diplomat and NYC council staffer, sits at 13.7% amid limited visibility and resources, while Yan Xiong has withdrawn from the Democratic contest. With the primary only days away and no major recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments reported, trader consensus centers on Meng’s structural advantages in a heavily Democratic seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Grace Meng 87.9%
Charles Park 13.5%
Yan Xiong 1.4%
신규
신규
2026.06.23
Grace Meng
88%
Charles Park
14%
Yan Xiong
1%
Grace Meng 87.9%
Charles Park 13.5%
Yan Xiong 1.4%
신규
신규
2026.06.23
Grace Meng
$4,240 거래량
88%
Charles Park
$1,414 거래량
14%
Yan Xiong
$1,295 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Representative Grace Meng holds an 87.8% implied probability in the June 23, 2026, NY-06 Democratic primary, reflecting her established position since 2013 in the Queens-based district. She maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $1.6 million in cash on hand as of early June, along with broad institutional support and name recognition. Challenger Charles (“Chuck”) Park, a former diplomat and NYC council staffer, sits at 13.7% amid limited visibility and resources, while Yan Xiong has withdrawn from the Democratic contest. With the primary only days away and no major recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments reported, trader consensus centers on Meng’s structural advantages in a heavily Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET
거래량
$6,949종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Representative Grace Meng holds an 87.8% implied probability in the June 23, 2026, NY-06 Democratic primary, reflecting her established position since 2013 in the Queens-based district. She maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $1.6 million in cash on hand as of early June, along with broad institutional support and name recognition. Challenger Charles (“Chuck”) Park, a former diplomat and NYC council staffer, sits at 13.7% amid limited visibility and resources, while Yan Xiong has withdrawn from the Democratic contest. With the primary only days away and no major recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments reported, trader consensus centers on Meng’s structural advantages in a heavily Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$6,949종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Representative Grace Meng holds an 87.8% implied probability in the June 23, 2026, NY-06 Democratic primary, reflecting her established position since 2013 in the Queens-based district. She maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $1.6 million in cash on hand as of early June, along with broad institutional support and name recognition. Challenger Charles (“Chuck”) Park, a former diplomat and NYC council staffer, sits at 13.7% amid limited visibility and resources, while Yan Xiong has withdrawn from the Democratic contest. With the primary only days away and no major recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or campaign developments reported, trader consensus centers on Meng’s structural advantages in a heavily Democratic seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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