Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February US-Israeli strikes. Since then, no verified in-person public appearance, video footage, or live address has occurred, with all statements delivered via state media readouts or still images. Reports cite injuries sustained in the attack, combined with ongoing regional conflict risks and security protocols, as key reasons for the prolonged absence. Trader sentiment on timed appearance markets reflects uncertainty over his health status, the regime's controlled messaging approach during active hostilities, and potential triggers such as major religious observances, Assembly of Experts sessions, or shifts in the conflict that could prompt a managed public event.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,829,236 거래량
June 30
13%
$1,829,236 거래량
June 30
13%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February US-Israeli strikes. Since then, no verified in-person public appearance, video footage, or live address has occurred, with all statements delivered via state media readouts or still images. Reports cite injuries sustained in the attack, combined with ongoing regional conflict risks and security protocols, as key reasons for the prolonged absence. Trader sentiment on timed appearance markets reflects uncertainty over his health status, the regime's controlled messaging approach during active hostilities, and potential triggers such as major religious observances, Assembly of Experts sessions, or shifts in the conflict that could prompt a managed public event.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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