Paul LePage, the former two-term Maine governor with extensive statewide name recognition, stands as the sole remaining Republican candidate for the June 9 primary in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District following the withdrawal of challenger James Clark, an Army veteran from East Machias. This open-seat contest, created by Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, features LePage’s established fundraising advantage and alignment with national Republican priorities as the primary drivers of trader consensus reflected in the 99.2% implied probability. Clark’s early filing as a political newcomer never generated meaningful momentum or resources. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to unforeseen late developments such as a health issue or disqualification before ballots are cast.