Democratic incumbent Dave Min advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 47th congressional district with a clear plurality, setting up a November general election matchup against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in a seat that leans Democratic based on recent presidential voting patterns and voter registration. The district's Orange County composition and historical performance under the current boundaries support trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Primary turnout and candidate positioning have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, major candidate-specific events, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months, though such factors would need to overcome the district's established partisan tilt to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$1,706 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$6,700 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 47th congressional district with a clear plurality, setting up a November general election matchup against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in a seat that leans Democratic based on recent presidential voting patterns and voter registration. The district's Orange County composition and historical performance under the current boundaries support trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Primary turnout and candidate positioning have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, major candidate-specific events, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months, though such factors would need to overcome the district's established partisan tilt to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$8,407종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 47th congressional district with a clear plurality, setting up a November general election matchup against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in a seat that leans Democratic based on recent presidential voting patterns and voter registration. The district's Orange County composition and historical performance under the current boundaries support trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Primary turnout and candidate positioning have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, major candidate-specific events, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months, though such factors would need to overcome the district's established partisan tilt to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,407종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 47th congressional district with a clear plurality, setting up a November general election matchup against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux in a seat that leans Democratic based on recent presidential voting patterns and voter registration. The district's Orange County composition and historical performance under the current boundaries support trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as likely Democratic. Primary turnout and candidate positioning have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected national political developments, major candidate-specific events, or unusually high Republican mobilization in the final months, though such factors would need to overcome the district's established partisan tilt to alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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