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icon for ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

icon for ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?

$15,039 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$15,039 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$11,289 Vol.

5%

3月31日

$1,787 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella, president of France’s National Rally, has faced questions about his long-term role following Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 court ruling that cleared her path to the 2027 presidential candidacy. Le Pen positioned him as her prospective prime minister on a joint ticket, ending speculation he would lead the party’s campaign. Recent reports highlight minor policy divergences on pensions, economic messaging, and campaign staffing, alongside unconfirmed claims of internal friction over figures like Marion Maréchal. Bardella has repeatedly denied tensions, publicly affirming full support for Le Pen ahead of the election. No formal moves toward departure have occurred, with the party emphasizing unity to contest the presidential race and potential subsequent parliamentary vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,039
終了日
2027/04/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella, president of France’s National Rally, has faced questions about his long-term role following Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 court ruling that cleared her path to the 2027 presidential candidacy. Le Pen positioned him as her prospective prime minister on a joint ticket, ending speculation he would lead the party’s campaign. Recent reports highlight minor policy divergences on pensions, economic messaging, and campaign staffing, alongside unconfirmed claims of internal friction over figures like Marion Maréchal. Bardella has repeatedly denied tensions, publicly affirming full support for Le Pen ahead of the election. No formal moves toward departure have occurred, with the party emphasizing unity to contest the presidential race and potential subsequent parliamentary vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,039
終了日
2027/04/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:41 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「3月31日」で10%、次いで「12月31日」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、10¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に10%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」は$15Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「3月31日」で10%であり、市場がこの結果に10%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「12月31日」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジョーダン・バルデラは...までにナショナルラリーを去るのでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。