FIFA president Gianni Infantino has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team securing approved training arrangements in Mexico and group-stage fixtures in the United States. This official stance, combined with Italy's public rejection of any replacement role and the absence of formal FIFA procedures advancing such a switch, underpins trader consensus around "No Replacement" at 99.9%. Geopolitical tensions earlier raised the prospect of a withdrawal, prompting speculation about intercontinental playoff sides like the UAE or Bolivia stepping in, yet no confederation or disciplinary action has materialized. A late Iranian pullout remains the primary scenario that could reopen the market, though recent developments point to resolved logistics and continued qualification status.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Replacement 99.9%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
UAE <1%
$98,556 Vol.
$98,556 Vol.

No Replacement
100%

Italy
<1%

Bolivia
<1%

UAE
<1%

Other
<1%
No Replacement 99.9%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
UAE <1%
$98,556 Vol.
$98,556 Vol.

No Replacement
100%

Italy
<1%

Bolivia
<1%

UAE
<1%

Other
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA president Gianni Infantino has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, with the team securing approved training arrangements in Mexico and group-stage fixtures in the United States. This official stance, combined with Italy's public rejection of any replacement role and the absence of formal FIFA procedures advancing such a switch, underpins trader consensus around "No Replacement" at 99.9%. Geopolitical tensions earlier raised the prospect of a withdrawal, prompting speculation about intercontinental playoff sides like the UAE or Bolivia stepping in, yet no confederation or disciplinary action has materialized. A late Iranian pullout remains the primary scenario that could reopen the market, though recent developments point to resolved logistics and continued qualification status.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問