Taylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年VMAアーティスト・オブ・ザ・イヤー
2026年VMAアーティスト・オブ・ザ・イヤー
テイラー・スウィフト 52%
マドンナ 22%
アリアナ・グランデ 5%
モーガン・ウォレン 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
テイラー・スウィフト
52%
マドンナ
22%
アリアナ・グランデ
5%
モーガン・ウォレン
2%
ブルーノ・マーズ
2%
サブリナ・カーペンター
2%
テイラー・スウィフト 52%
マドンナ 22%
アリアナ・グランデ 5%
モーガン・ウォレン 2.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
テイラー・スウィフト
$449 Vol.
52%
マドンナ
$47 Vol.
22%
アリアナ・グランデ
$158 Vol.
5%
モーガン・ウォレン
$22 Vol.
2%
ブルーノ・マーズ
$22 Vol.
2%
サブリナ・カーペンター
$24 Vol.
2%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$723終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$723終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift maintains a narrow lead in trader consensus for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 51.5% implied probability, driven by her unmatched historical dominance and nine nominations amid a tightly contested field. Madonna follows at 21.5% on the strength of her leading 11–13 total nods, including for a high-profile Confessions II project, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen trail far behind in market pricing despite their nominations. With fan voting open through September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, the outcome hinges on voter turnout and late momentum in this fan-driven category, where Swift’s precedent as the most-awarded artist creates a slight edge but leaves room for an upset from Madonna’s current nomination surge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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