Polymarket holds a narrow lead in prediction-market mindshare at 21.57% versus Kalshi’s 20.8% according to Moni’s tracking of crypto-focused accounts in mid-August, though the gap has tightened as overall search interest fell sharply after the FIFA World Cup peak. Polymarket’s trading volume has halved since June while Kalshi pulls ahead on order flow and open interest, driven by stronger U.S. regulatory positioning and sports-parlay growth. Recent platform upgrades including TWAP pricing to curb manipulation, full parlay rollout ahead of NFL season, passkey logins, and a $1B fundraising push targeting $20B valuation aim to sustain visibility, yet ongoing blocks in South Korea and insider-trading scrutiny introduce downside risks. Traders are watching whether product momentum and any CLARITY Act progress can widen Polymarket’s attention share by year-end amid intensifying competition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,712 Vol.
90%
8%
85%
15%
80%
51%
75%
79%
$21,712 Vol.
90%
8%
85%
15%
80%
51%
75%
79%
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日: Jun 30, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket holds a narrow lead in prediction-market mindshare at 21.57% versus Kalshi’s 20.8% according to Moni’s tracking of crypto-focused accounts in mid-August, though the gap has tightened as overall search interest fell sharply after the FIFA World Cup peak. Polymarket’s trading volume has halved since June while Kalshi pulls ahead on order flow and open interest, driven by stronger U.S. regulatory positioning and sports-parlay growth. Recent platform upgrades including TWAP pricing to curb manipulation, full parlay rollout ahead of NFL season, passkey logins, and a $1B fundraising push targeting $20B valuation aim to sustain visibility, yet ongoing blocks in South Korea and insider-trading scrutiny introduce downside risks. Traders are watching whether product momentum and any CLARITY Act progress can widen Polymarket’s attention share by year-end amid intensifying competition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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