**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.** This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月7日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
21℃ 51%
20℃ 37%
22°C 11%
19℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
15°C以下
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
1%
18℃
1%
19℃
5%
20℃
37%
21℃
51%
22°C
11%
23℃
2%
24°C
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
21℃ 51%
20℃ 37%
22°C 11%
19℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
15°C以下
$386 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$75 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$152 Vol.
1%
18℃
$243 Vol.
1%
19℃
$784 Vol.
5%
20℃
$1,413 Vol.
37%
21℃
$1,840 Vol.
51%
22°C
$324 Vol.
11%
23℃
$396 Vol.
2%
24°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
25℃以上
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.**
This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C.
Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$6,118終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.**
This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C.
Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,118終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.** This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問