Milei’s incumbency as president, combined with Argentina’s fiscal stabilization and inflation reduction from over 200% to around 30%, underpins traders’ 53% consensus for his re-election in 2027 despite approval ratings near 35%. Persistent wage pressures, uneven recovery, and recent corruption allegations have narrowed his lead and lifted Peronist challenger Axel Kicillof to 41.5% as the primary alternative. Fragmented opposition figures like Sergio Massa and Mauricio Macri register minimal support, reflecting voter reluctance to return to prior administrations. Midterm legislative gains and commodity-driven growth expectations continue to favor the incumbent in the eyes of market participants, though economic sentiment and any further scandals remain key variables ahead of the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ハビエル・ミレイ 54%
アクセル・キシロフ 42%
ダンテ・ヘベル 2.6%
セルヒオ・マッサ 1.1%
$405,427 Vol.
$405,427 Vol.
ハビエル・ミレイ
54%
アクセル・キシロフ
42%
ダンテ・ヘベル
3%
セルヒオ・マッサ
1%
フアン・グラボイス
1%
ミリアム・ブレグマン
1%
フアン・スキアレッティ
1%
ビクトリア・ビリャルエル
<1%
マウリシオ・マクリ
<1%
エステバン・ブルリッチ
<1%
ファクンド・マネス
<1%
ハビエル・ミレイ 54%
アクセル・キシロフ 42%
ダンテ・ヘベル 2.6%
セルヒオ・マッサ 1.1%
$405,427 Vol.
$405,427 Vol.
ハビエル・ミレイ
54%
アクセル・キシロフ
42%
ダンテ・ヘベル
3%
セルヒオ・マッサ
1%
フアン・グラボイス
1%
ミリアム・ブレグマン
1%
フアン・スキアレッティ
1%
ビクトリア・ビリャルエル
<1%
マウリシオ・マクリ
<1%
エステバン・ブルリッチ
<1%
ファクンド・マネス
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Milei’s incumbency as president, combined with Argentina’s fiscal stabilization and inflation reduction from over 200% to around 30%, underpins traders’ 53% consensus for his re-election in 2027 despite approval ratings near 35%. Persistent wage pressures, uneven recovery, and recent corruption allegations have narrowed his lead and lifted Peronist challenger Axel Kicillof to 41.5% as the primary alternative. Fragmented opposition figures like Sergio Massa and Mauricio Macri register minimal support, reflecting voter reluctance to return to prior administrations. Midterm legislative gains and commodity-driven growth expectations continue to favor the incumbent in the eyes of market participants, though economic sentiment and any further scandals remain key variables ahead of the vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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