The bunched pricing around 49.5% for dozens of players in the BMW Championship first-round leader market at Bellerive Country Club reflects the inherent variance of opening-round scoring on a demanding, tree-lined layout that rewards accurate ball-striking and course management over raw power. The top-50 field, finalized after the FedEx St. Jude Championship, features broad depth with no dominant recent form edge; players such as Ludvig Åberg, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy carry strong ball-striking metrics and prior playoff experience, yet first-round conditions and pin placements create parity. Weather forecasts and typical Thursday scoring averages further flatten probabilities, as even mid-tier qualifiers like Jacob Bridgeman or Bud Cauley can post low rounds on a given day. This distribution captures trader consensus on the event’s unpredictability heading into the August 18 start.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Sam Burns 50%
Eric Cole 50%
Nicolas Echavarria 50%
Kurt Kitayama 50%
Sam Burns
50%
Eric Cole
50%
Nicolas Echavarria
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Jake Knapp
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Ryan Fox
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Ryo Hisatsune
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Adam Scott
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Alexander Noren
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Alex Fitzpatrick
28%
Rickie Fowler
28%
JT Poston
28%
Justin Rose
28%
Sepp Straka
28%
Michael Brennan
28%
Ryan Gerard
28%
Russell Henley
28%
Si Woo Kim
28%
Tom Kim
28%
Alex Smalley
28%
Sahith Theegala
28%
Scottie Scheffler
28%
Sam Burns 50%
Eric Cole 50%
Nicolas Echavarria 50%
Kurt Kitayama 50%
Sam Burns
50%
Eric Cole
50%
Nicolas Echavarria
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Jake Knapp
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Ryan Fox
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Ryo Hisatsune
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Adam Scott
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Alexander Noren
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Alex Fitzpatrick
28%
Rickie Fowler
28%
JT Poston
28%
Justin Rose
28%
Sepp Straka
28%
Michael Brennan
28%
Ryan Gerard
28%
Russell Henley
28%
Si Woo Kim
28%
Tom Kim
28%
Alex Smalley
28%
Sahith Theegala
28%
Scottie Scheffler
28%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The bunched pricing around 49.5% for dozens of players in the BMW Championship first-round leader market at Bellerive Country Club reflects the inherent variance of opening-round scoring on a demanding, tree-lined layout that rewards accurate ball-striking and course management over raw power. The top-50 field, finalized after the FedEx St. Jude Championship, features broad depth with no dominant recent form edge; players such as Ludvig Åberg, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy carry strong ball-striking metrics and prior playoff experience, yet first-round conditions and pin placements create parity. Weather forecasts and typical Thursday scoring averages further flatten probabilities, as even mid-tier qualifiers like Jacob Bridgeman or Bud Cauley can post low rounds on a given day. This distribution captures trader consensus on the event’s unpredictability heading into the August 18 start.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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