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icon for Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?

Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?

icon for Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?

Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?

$10,684 Vol.

30 set 2026
Polymarket

$10,684 Vol.

Polymarket

30 settembre 2026

$26 Vol.

5%

31 dicembre 2026

$1,323 Vol.

8%

30 giugno 2027

$9,334 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public signs of planning to retire and sources close to him have stated he does not intend to step down in the near term. He continues to participate actively in the Court’s work and is on track to surpass historical longevity records if he remains through 2028. Speculation about vacancies has centered more on Justice Samuel Alito, who publicly confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to serve at least another full term. With no mandatory retirement age and lifetime tenure under the Constitution, any announcement would depend on Thomas’s personal decision rather than institutional deadlines. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, while November midterm elections could shift Senate dynamics relevant to future confirmations. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent catalysts or health disclosures that would alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,684
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s second-longest-serving member at age 78, has shown no public signs of planning to retire and sources close to him have stated he does not intend to step down in the near term. He continues to participate actively in the Court’s work and is on track to surpass historical longevity records if he remains through 2028. Speculation about vacancies has centered more on Justice Samuel Alito, who publicly confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to serve at least another full term. With no mandatory retirement age and lifetime tenure under the Constitution, any announcement would depend on Thomas’s personal decision rather than institutional deadlines. The next Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, while November midterm elections could shift Senate dynamics relevant to future confirmations. Trader sentiment reflects the absence of recent catalysts or health disclosures that would alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$10,684
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

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Domande frequenti

"Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "30 giugno 2027" a 14%, seguito da "31 dicembre 2026" a 8%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 14¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?" ha generato $10.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?" è "30 giugno 2027" a 14%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 14% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "31 dicembre 2026" a 8%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Clarence Thomas annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.