The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence with an attack on one treated as an attack on all, plus frameworks for defense cooperation, joint exercises, and a permanent secretariat. Signatories have signaled the pact is open to accession, driving trader focus on near-term joiners amid regional security realignments. Egypt maintains the highest implied probability, with its foreign minister confirming ongoing review against constitutional requirements and Turkish officials describing it as the most likely next member once technical issues are resolved. Iran received a reported mid-August invitation and has the matter under review, while Syria’s foreign minister indicated consideration of accession or cooperation by late August. Lower-probability candidates include Iraq, Qatar, Jordan, and select Gulf or Central Asian states, with accession hinging on bilateral diplomacy, alignment on threat perceptions, and domestic approvals before the December 31, 2026, deadline. No further formal accessions have occurred since the founding trio.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$55,601 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Egitto
14%
Giordania
13%
Emirati Arabi Uniti
12%
Kuwait
11%
Bahrein
10%
Sudan
10%
Qatar
10%
Somalia
9%
Marocco
9%
Oman
9%
Algeria
8%
Siria
8%
Iraq
7%
Yemen
7%
Iran
7%
Libano
2%
$55,601 Vol.
Egitto
$8,075 Vol.
14%
Giordania
$1,187 Vol.
13%
Emirati Arabi Uniti
$20,560 Vol.
12%
Kuwait
$2,631 Vol.
11%
Bahrein
$1,406 Vol.
10%
Sudan
$2,056 Vol.
10%
Qatar
$1,939 Vol.
10%
Somalia
$4,604 Vol.
9%
Marocco
$2,586 Vol.
9%
Oman
$1,213 Vol.
9%
Algeria
$66 Vol.
8%
Siria
$2,680 Vol.
8%
Iraq
$1,551 Vol.
7%
Yemen
$39 Vol.
7%
Iran
$2,399 Vol.
7%
Libano
$2,608 Vol.
2%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence with an attack on one treated as an attack on all, plus frameworks for defense cooperation, joint exercises, and a permanent secretariat. Signatories have signaled the pact is open to accession, driving trader focus on near-term joiners amid regional security realignments. Egypt maintains the highest implied probability, with its foreign minister confirming ongoing review against constitutional requirements and Turkish officials describing it as the most likely next member once technical issues are resolved. Iran received a reported mid-August invitation and has the matter under review, while Syria’s foreign minister indicated consideration of accession or cooperation by late August. Lower-probability candidates include Iraq, Qatar, Jordan, and select Gulf or Central Asian states, with accession hinging on bilateral diplomacy, alignment on threat perceptions, and domestic approvals before the December 31, 2026, deadline. No further formal accessions have occurred since the founding trio.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Volume
$55,601Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence with an attack on one treated as an attack on all, plus frameworks for defense cooperation, joint exercises, and a permanent secretariat. Signatories have signaled the pact is open to accession, driving trader focus on near-term joiners amid regional security realignments. Egypt maintains the highest implied probability, with its foreign minister confirming ongoing review against constitutional requirements and Turkish officials describing it as the most likely next member once technical issues are resolved. Iran received a reported mid-August invitation and has the matter under review, while Syria’s foreign minister indicated consideration of accession or cooperation by late August. Lower-probability candidates include Iraq, Qatar, Jordan, and select Gulf or Central Asian states, with accession hinging on bilateral diplomacy, alignment on threat perceptions, and domestic approvals before the December 31, 2026, deadline. No further formal accessions have occurred since the founding trio.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,601Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence with an attack on one treated as an attack on all, plus frameworks for defense cooperation, joint exercises, and a permanent secretariat. Signatories have signaled the pact is open to accession, driving trader focus on near-term joiners amid regional security realignments. Egypt maintains the highest implied probability, with its foreign minister confirming ongoing review against constitutional requirements and Turkish officials describing it as the most likely next member once technical issues are resolved. Iran received a reported mid-August invitation and has the matter under review, while Syria’s foreign minister indicated consideration of accession or cooperation by late August. Lower-probability candidates include Iraq, Qatar, Jordan, and select Gulf or Central Asian states, with accession hinging on bilateral diplomacy, alignment on threat perceptions, and domestic approvals before the December 31, 2026, deadline. No further formal accessions have occurred since the founding trio.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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