The International 2026 group stage opens August 13 in Shanghai amid a stacked 18-team field featuring top squads like Team Falcons, Team Spirit, and Aurora. Trader consensus assigning 68.5% probability to “No” reflects the extreme rarity of a full mega-creep comeback victory in modern professional Dota 2. At TI-level play, coordinated defenses, superior map awareness, and rapid high-ground execution typically close games before megas spawn or allow the trailing side to stabilize; historical examples remain outliers even in prior Internationals. With no major roster disruptions or patch shifts altering creep scaling reported ahead of the event, the implied probability aligns with the low historical frequency of such swings across hundreds of elite matches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAll official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward this market, including the group stage, playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count, even if mega creeps spawned during them. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.
If at least one qualifying comeback occurs in any completed game at the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon the conclusion of that game being confirmed by the resolution sources. If the tournament concludes without any qualifying comeback, this market will resolve to "No".
If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final game data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game barracks and winner data for The International 2026 event. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward this market, including the group stage, playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count, even if mega creeps spawned during them. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.
If at least one qualifying comeback occurs in any completed game at the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon the conclusion of that game being confirmed by the resolution sources. If the tournament concludes without any qualifying comeback, this market will resolve to "No".
If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final game data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game barracks and winner data for The International 2026 event. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The International 2026 group stage opens August 13 in Shanghai amid a stacked 18-team field featuring top squads like Team Falcons, Team Spirit, and Aurora. Trader consensus assigning 68.5% probability to “No” reflects the extreme rarity of a full mega-creep comeback victory in modern professional Dota 2. At TI-level play, coordinated defenses, superior map awareness, and rapid high-ground execution typically close games before megas spawn or allow the trailing side to stabilize; historical examples remain outliers even in prior Internationals. With no major roster disruptions or patch shifts altering creep scaling reported ahead of the event, the implied probability aligns with the low historical frequency of such swings across hundreds of elite matches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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