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icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne
Politica·Affluenza

Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne

icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne
Politica·Affluenza

Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne

300K-350K 33%

250K-300K 24%

450.000+ 22%

400K-450K 19%

Polymarket
NUOVO

300K-350K 33%

250K-300K 24%

450.000+ 22%

400K-450K 19%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<250K

$40 Vol.

15%

250K-300K

$40 Vol.

24%

300K-350K

$60 Vol.

33%

350K-400K

$21 Vol.

16%

400K-450K

$20 Vol.

19%

450.000+

$41 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The low-competitiveness nature of Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race, where incumbent Jack Reed holds a commanding lead in a safe Democratic seat against Republican Raymond McKay, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near 300,000–350,000 votes. Historical midterm participation rates around 43 percent of registered voters, combined with limited national attention and an uncompetitive primary featuring Reed over challengers like Connor Burbridge, support this range. Elevated early voting ahead of the September primary has drawn notice but may reflect timing shifts rather than sustained general election momentum. Key variables include overall voter engagement in a low-salience contest, any spillover from simultaneous statewide races, and typical midterm drop-off patterns.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$222
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The low-competitiveness nature of Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race, where incumbent Jack Reed holds a commanding lead in a safe Democratic seat against Republican Raymond McKay, anchors trader expectations for general election turnout near 300,000–350,000 votes. Historical midterm participation rates around 43 percent of registered voters, combined with limited national attention and an uncompetitive primary featuring Reed over challengers like Connor Burbridge, support this range. Elevated early voting ahead of the September primary has drawn notice but may reflect timing shifts rather than sustained general election momentum. Key variables include overall voter engagement in a low-salience contest, any spillover from simultaneous statewide races, and typical midterm drop-off patterns.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$222
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del Massachusetts sarà compreso tra 2.800.000 e 2.950.000?

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "300K-350K" a 33%, seguito da "250K-300K" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 33¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 18, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne" è "300K-350K" a 33%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "250K-300K" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rhode Island: affluenza alle urne" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.