Cleveland Cavaliers' overwhelming 97.5% implied probability reflects James Harden's repeated public signals and active contract negotiations to re-sign after declining his $42.3 million player option for 2026-27. The veteran guard's midseason arrival last year propelled Cleveland to the Eastern Conference finals, creating roster continuity incentives amid the team's pursuit of additional wings like Jonathan Kuminga. Recent reports confirm ongoing talks for a two- or three-year extension, with the Cavs prioritizing salary-cap flexibility through potential Max Strus moves. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include a sudden breakdown over contract length or annual value, or an unexpected offer from another contender, though no competing suitors have emerged in credible reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNBA Free Agency: James Harden Prossima Squadra
NBA Free Agency: James Harden Prossima Squadra
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.5%
Toronto Raptors 8.6%
Golden State Warriors 2.6%
Phoenix Suns 1.2%
$1,295,943 Vol.
$1,295,943 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Toronto Raptors
9%
Golden State Warriors
3%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Memphis Grizzlies
1%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.5%
Toronto Raptors 8.6%
Golden State Warriors 2.6%
Phoenix Suns 1.2%
$1,295,943 Vol.
$1,295,943 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
98%
Toronto Raptors
9%
Golden State Warriors
3%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Memphis Grizzlies
1%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
San Antonio Spurs
1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleveland Cavaliers' overwhelming 97.5% implied probability reflects James Harden's repeated public signals and active contract negotiations to re-sign after declining his $42.3 million player option for 2026-27. The veteran guard's midseason arrival last year propelled Cleveland to the Eastern Conference finals, creating roster continuity incentives amid the team's pursuit of additional wings like Jonathan Kuminga. Recent reports confirm ongoing talks for a two- or three-year extension, with the Cavs prioritizing salary-cap flexibility through potential Max Strus moves. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include a sudden breakdown over contract length or annual value, or an unexpected offer from another contender, though no competing suitors have emerged in credible reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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