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icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

$16,860 Vol.

11 ott 2026
Polymarket

$16,860 Vol.

Polymarket

Kyle Schwarber

$484 Vol.

90%

Yordan Alvarez

$777 Vol.

88%

Junior Caminero

$70 Vol.

74%

Hunter Goodman

$1,857 Vol.

71%

James Wood

$764 Vol.

72%

Shohei Ohtani

$484 Vol.

44%

Munetaka Murakami

$0 Vol.

51%

Ben Rice

$0 Vol.

50%

Matt Olson

$538 Vol.

39%

Byron Buxton

$1,933 Vol.

36%

Brandon Lowe

$1,630 Vol.

26%

Pete Alonso

$22 Vol.

18%

Juan Soto

$170 Vol.

14%

Nick Kurtz

$71 Vol.

11%

Jordan Walker

$247 Vol.

27%

Christian Walker

$148 Vol.

12%

Dillon Dingler

$3,214 Vol.

11%

Kazuma Okamoto

$0 Vol.

10%

Shea Langeliers

$1,137 Vol.

22%

Bryce Harper

$378 Vol.

7%

Ketel Marte

$363 Vol.

7%

Wilson Contreras

$399 Vol.

6%

Miguel Vargas

$120 Vol.

6%

$0 Vol.

6%

Aaron Judge

$808 Vol.

5%

$0 Vol.

4%

Manny Machado

$222 Vol.

4%

Mike Trout

$301 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$521 Vol.

51%

Colson Montgomery

$200 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,860
Data di fine
11 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,860
Data di fine
11 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 30 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Kyle Schwarber" a 90%, seguito da "Yordan Alvarez" a 88%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" ha generato $16.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 2, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs", esplora i 30 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" è "Kyle Schwarber" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Yordan Alvarez" a 88%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.