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icon for MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA

MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA

icon for MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA

MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA

Chris Sale 96%

Yordan Alvarez 56.8%

Cristopher Sánchez 49.2%

Cam Schlittler 46.7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Chris Sale 96%

Yordan Alvarez 56.8%

Cristopher Sánchez 49.2%

Cam Schlittler 46.7%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Chris Sale

$75 Vol.

96%

Yordan Alvarez

$174 Vol.

57%

Cristopher Sánchez

$19 Vol.

49%

Cam Schlittler

$86 Vol.

47%

Dylan Cease

$86 Vol.

46%

Dillon Dingler

$86 Vol.

46%

Jacob Misiorowski

$86 Vol.

3%

Shohei Ohtani

$159 Vol.

3%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$78 Vol.

1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$269 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez leads Polymarket's implied probabilities for the 2026 MLB WAR crown at 63.2%, reflecting trader emphasis on his elite offensive output as the Astros DH, including a .317/.434/.601 slash line, 37 home runs, and strong wRC+ through early September. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits at 50% amid his position-player lead in actual WAR totals near 8-9, driven by elite center-field defense, baserunning, and power-speed production for the Cubs. Multiple pitchers including Cam Schlittler, Dylan Cease, Chris Sale, and Cristopher Sánchez cluster near 40-50%, supported by high-innings workloads and run prevention that boost their fWAR. Lower odds for Shohei Ohtani, Bobby Witt Jr., and Jacob Misiorowski align with their solid but comparatively compressed contributions entering the final month, where late health, playing time, and defensive metrics remain key variables in the wide-open race.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,118
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez leads Polymarket's implied probabilities for the 2026 MLB WAR crown at 63.2%, reflecting trader emphasis on his elite offensive output as the Astros DH, including a .317/.434/.601 slash line, 37 home runs, and strong wRC+ through early September. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits at 50% amid his position-player lead in actual WAR totals near 8-9, driven by elite center-field defense, baserunning, and power-speed production for the Cubs. Multiple pitchers including Cam Schlittler, Dylan Cease, Chris Sale, and Cristopher Sánchez cluster near 40-50%, supported by high-innings workloads and run prevention that boost their fWAR. Lower odds for Shohei Ohtani, Bobby Witt Jr., and Jacob Misiorowski align with their solid but comparatively compressed contributions entering the final month, where late health, playing time, and defensive metrics remain key variables in the wide-open race.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,118
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

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Domande frequenti

"MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Yordan Alvarez" a 57%, seguito da "Pete Crow-Armstrong" a 50%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 57¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 28, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA" è "Yordan Alvarez" a 57%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Pete Crow-Armstrong" a 50%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: 2026 leader DI GUERRA" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.