Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C in Shanghai for September 7, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 24°C. Northerly winds advecting cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain, are limiting overnight radiative cooling compared with clear-sky baselines. This aligns with early-September climatology, where Shanghai’s average daily minimum hovers near 23–24°C as the monsoon influence wanes. Latest model runs show limited spread, with no signals of stronger cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings to 21°C or 25°C-plus. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers will likely anchor trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 7 settembre?
24°C 55%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
26°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
55%
25°C
27%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 55%
25°C 27%
23°C 18%
26°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$155 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$378 Vol.
5%
23°C
$280 Vol.
18%
24°C
$793 Vol.
55%
25°C
$495 Vol.
27%
26°C
$208 Vol.
5%
27°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C in Shanghai for September 7, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 24°C. Northerly winds advecting cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain, are limiting overnight radiative cooling compared with clear-sky baselines. This aligns with early-September climatology, where Shanghai’s average daily minimum hovers near 23–24°C as the monsoon influence wanes. Latest model runs show limited spread, with no signals of stronger cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings to 21°C or 25°C-plus. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers will likely anchor trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,014Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C in Shanghai for September 7, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 24°C. Northerly winds advecting cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain, are limiting overnight radiative cooling compared with clear-sky baselines. This aligns with early-September climatology, where Shanghai’s average daily minimum hovers near 23–24°C as the monsoon influence wanes. Latest model runs show limited spread, with no signals of stronger cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings to 21°C or 25°C-plus. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers will likely anchor trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,014Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature of 22–24°C in Shanghai for September 7, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 24°C. Northerly winds advecting cooler continental air, combined with increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain, are limiting overnight radiative cooling compared with clear-sky baselines. This aligns with early-September climatology, where Shanghai’s average daily minimum hovers near 23–24°C as the monsoon influence wanes. Latest model runs show limited spread, with no signals of stronger cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings to 21°C or 25°C-plus. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional meteorological centers will likely anchor trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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