Skip to main content
icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitica·Hezbollah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Geopolitica·Hezbollah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

$341,551 Vol.

31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$341,551 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$11,249 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations continue in southern Lebanon’s Nabatieh district, with recent demolitions, artillery strikes, and vehicle movements reported in villages such as Zawtar Sharqieh, Kfar Roummane, and near the Ali Taher ridge overlooking the city. As of late August 2026, forces have conducted infrastructure destruction and sweeping actions in surrounding areas but have not entered Nabatieh itself, consistent with a pattern of buffer-zone enforcement and targeted pressure on Hezbollah positions. Ongoing framework talks between Israel and Lebanon, aimed at Lebanese Army deployment and phased withdrawals, remain stalled amid persistent cross-border incidents. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of escalation risks versus diplomatic constraints within any specified resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$341,551
Data di fine
31 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations continue in southern Lebanon’s Nabatieh district, with recent demolitions, artillery strikes, and vehicle movements reported in villages such as Zawtar Sharqieh, Kfar Roummane, and near the Ali Taher ridge overlooking the city. As of late August 2026, forces have conducted infrastructure destruction and sweeping actions in surrounding areas but have not entered Nabatieh itself, consistent with a pattern of buffer-zone enforcement and targeted pressure on Hezbollah positions. Ongoing framework talks between Israel and Lebanon, aimed at Lebanese Army deployment and phased withdrawals, remain stalled amid persistent cross-border incidents. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of escalation risks versus diplomatic constraints within any specified resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$341,551
Data di fine
31 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Correlati

icon for Le forze israeliane entrano a Beirut entro il 31 agosto?

Le forze israeliane entrano a Beirut entro il 31 agosto?

2%
Sì
icon for Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?

4%
icon for Israele si ritira dal Libano entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Israele si ritira dal Libano entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

10%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "August 31" a 11%, seguito da "May 31" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 11¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 11% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" ha generato $341.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 28, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" è "August 31" a 11%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 11% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "May 31" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.