Michigan leads trader consensus as Democrats’ strongest tossup Senate opportunity in the 2026 cycle because it features an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters in a narrow battleground state. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed running even or narrowly ahead of Republican Mike Rogers following El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, reflecting the state’s even partisan lean and the broader national environment. Maine follows due to Susan Collins’s reelection bid against Troy Jackson in a state Democrats carried in 2024, while Alaska benefits from Mary Peltola’s primary performance against Dan Sullivan. Texas and Ohio gained ground after recent rating shifts and polling movement, but Michigan’s combination of open-seat dynamics and competitive surveys keeps it atop the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa miglior gara di lancio al Senato dei democratici?
La miglior gara di lancio al Senato dei democratici?
Michigan 52%
Maine 20%
Alaska 19%
Texas 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Michigan
52%
Maine
20%
Alaska
19%
Texas
8%
Ohio
4%
Iowa
3%
Michigan 52%
Maine 20%
Alaska 19%
Texas 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Michigan
$2,547 Vol.
52%
Maine
$195 Vol.
20%
Alaska
$201 Vol.
19%
Texas
$109 Vol.
8%
Ohio
$273 Vol.
4%
Iowa
$109 Vol.
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan leads trader consensus as Democrats’ strongest tossup Senate opportunity in the 2026 cycle because it features an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters in a narrow battleground state. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed running even or narrowly ahead of Republican Mike Rogers following El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, reflecting the state’s even partisan lean and the broader national environment. Maine follows due to Susan Collins’s reelection bid against Troy Jackson in a state Democrats carried in 2024, while Alaska benefits from Mary Peltola’s primary performance against Dan Sullivan. Texas and Ohio gained ground after recent rating shifts and polling movement, but Michigan’s combination of open-seat dynamics and competitive surveys keeps it atop the market.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$3,435Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Michigan leads trader consensus as Democrats’ strongest tossup Senate opportunity in the 2026 cycle because it features an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters in a narrow battleground state. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed running even or narrowly ahead of Republican Mike Rogers following El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, reflecting the state’s even partisan lean and the broader national environment. Maine follows due to Susan Collins’s reelection bid against Troy Jackson in a state Democrats carried in 2024, while Alaska benefits from Mary Peltola’s primary performance against Dan Sullivan. Texas and Ohio gained ground after recent rating shifts and polling movement, but Michigan’s combination of open-seat dynamics and competitive surveys keeps it atop the market.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the state, out of those listed, in which the Democratic Senate candidate earns the highest vote share percentage in the midterm election.
Vote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing a Democrat, and only non-exhausted ballots will be considered to be valid in that round. In the event that such a round contains multiple Democrats, this market will resolve in favor of the Democrat with the higher vote share.
If two vote shares are identical, this market will rank the tied states in alphabetical order.
In the event that the relevant vote share for a state cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, that state will not be considered for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,435Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Michigan leads trader consensus as Democrats’ strongest tossup Senate opportunity in the 2026 cycle because it features an open seat previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters in a narrow battleground state. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed running even or narrowly ahead of Republican Mike Rogers following El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, reflecting the state’s even partisan lean and the broader national environment. Maine follows due to Susan Collins’s reelection bid against Troy Jackson in a state Democrats carried in 2024, while Alaska benefits from Mary Peltola’s primary performance against Dan Sullivan. Texas and Ohio gained ground after recent rating shifts and polling movement, but Michigan’s combination of open-seat dynamics and competitive surveys keeps it atop the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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