Skip to main content
icon for Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
Pemilihan Umum·MTG

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

icon for Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
Pemilihan Umum·MTG

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

4% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
4% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The 2028 Republican presidential field currently centers on male frontrunners such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early prediction markets and polling among party voters. Nikki Haley ruled out a bid in April 2026, while other potential female contenders including Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tulsi Gabbard, and Elise Stefanik register below 2% in related markets. This candidate composition and the absence of any woman building comparable support or endorsements sustain the 96% trader consensus against a female nominee. Late shifts remain possible if health events sideline leading candidates, party dynamics elevate an unlisted contender through primaries, or new announcements reshape the field before the convention.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,611
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The 2028 Republican presidential field currently centers on male frontrunners such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early prediction markets and polling among party voters. Nikki Haley ruled out a bid in April 2026, while other potential female contenders including Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tulsi Gabbard, and Elise Stefanik register below 2% in related markets. This candidate composition and the absence of any woman building comparable support or endorsements sustain the 96% trader consensus against a female nominee. Late shifts remain possible if health events sideline leading candidates, party dynamics elevate an unlisted contender through primaries, or new announcements reshape the field before the convention.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,611
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 7, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Terkait

icon for Apakah Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez akan memenangkan nominasi presiden Partai Demokrat tahun 2028?

Apakah Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez akan memenangkan nominasi presiden Partai Demokrat tahun 2028?

21%
Ya
icon for Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

32%
icon for Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

40%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 4¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Feb 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?" adalah 4% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 4% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.